 Search for profits and business fluctuations: How does banks’ behaviour explain cycles?Emanuele Ciola, Edoardo Gaffeo and Mauro Gallegati Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2022, vol. 135, issue C Abstract: This paper develops and estimates a macroeconomic model of real-financial markets interactions in which the behaviour of banks generates endogenous business cycles. We do so in the context of a computational agent-based framework, where the channelling of funds from depositors to investors occurring through intermediaries is affected by information and matching frictions. Since banks compete in both deposit and credit markets, the whole dynamic is driven by endogenous fluctuations in their profits. In particular, we assume that intermediaries adopt a simple learning process, which consists of copying the strategy of the most profitable competitors while setting their interest rates. Accordingly, the emergence of strategic complementarity in the behaviour of banks – mainly due to the accumulation of information capital – leads to periods of sustained growth followed by sharp recessions in the simulated economy. Keywords: Agent-based macroeconomics; Simulation-based estimation; Intermediaries behaviour; Business cycles (search for similar items in EconPapers) Downloads: (external link) Related works: Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:dyncon:v:135:y:2022:i:c:s016518892100227x DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2021.104292 Access Statistics for this article Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control is currently edited by J. Bullard, C. Chiarella, H. Dawid, C. H. Hommes, P. Klein and C. Otrok More articles in Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control from Elsevier |
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