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Collateral quality and house prices

Jing Zhou

Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2022, vol. 145, issue C

Abstract: This paper studies the effects of collateral quality shocks on house prices, the price-rent ratio, and the macroeconomy in a dynamic general equilibrium model with housing collateral. Collateral quality is not as perfect as is typically assumed in the existing literature on collateral constraints, and collateral quality shocks can simultaneously explain the salient features of the joint dynamics of house prices, the price-rent ratio, and output observed in the data. Moreover, depending on whether or not information about collateral quality is produced, there exist two lending regimes; endogenous switching between these two regimes also reinforces the patterns. I estimate this model using Bayesian methods and identify a conspicuous endogenous regime switch at the onset of the Great Recession. The results show that collateral quality shocks and the associated regime switch account for a large fraction of the variations in house prices and the price-rent ratio during the housing boom and bust of the 2000s.

Keywords: Collateral quality; Endogenous regime switching; House prices; Price-rent ratio; Collateral constraint (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E22 E27 E32 E44 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:dyncon:v:145:y:2022:i:c:s0165188922002184

DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2022.104514

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Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control is currently edited by J. Bullard, C. Chiarella, H. Dawid, C. H. Hommes, P. Klein and C. Otrok

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