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Optimal monetary policy in developing countries: The role of informality

Monica A. Gomez Ospina

Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2023, vol. 155, issue C

Abstract: In this paper, I analyze optimal monetary policy in developing countries whose labor markets are characterized by the presence of a large informal sector. I develop a closed economy model with nominal price and wage rigidities, search and matching frictions, and a dual labor market: a formal one characterized by matching frictions and nominal wage rigidities, and an informal one where wages are fully flexible. Under this framework, a trade-off between price and wage inflation emerges. I find that informality increases the response of price and wage inflation to aggregate productivity shocks. As a result, the presence of an informal sector increases the inefficient fluctuations of labor market variables, such as unemployment, labor market tightness, and formal hiring rate. I find that optimal policy with informality features significant deviations from price stability in response to aggregate productivity shocks.

Keywords: Informality; Monetary policy; Nominal rigidities; Inflation targeting (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E12 E26 E52 E61 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:dyncon:v:155:y:2023:i:c:s0165188923001306

DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2023.104724

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