On Abel's concept of doubt and pessimism
Elyès Jouini () and
Clotilde Napp
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2008, vol. 32, issue 11, 3682-3694
Abstract:
In this paper, we characterize subjective probability beliefs leading to a higher equilibrium market price of risk. We establish that Abel's result on the impact of doubt on the risk premium is not correct in general; see Abel [2002. An exploration of the effects of pessimism and doubt on asset returns. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 26, 1075-1092]. We introduce, on the set of subjective probability beliefs, market-price-of-risk dominance concepts and we relate them to well-known dominance concepts used for comparative statics in portfolio choice analysis. In particular, the necessary first-order conditions on subjective probability beliefs in order to increase the market price of risk for all nondecreasing utility functions appear as equivalent to the monotone likelihood ratio property.
Keywords: Pessimism; Optimism; Doubt; Stochastic; dominance; Risk; premium; Market; price; of; risk; Riskiness; Portfolio; dominance; Monotone; likelihood; ratio (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2008
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (10)
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Working Paper: On Abel's Concept of Doubt and Pessimism (2008) 
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:dyncon:v:32:y:2008:i:11:p:3682-3694
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