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Is forward-looking inflation targeting destabilizing? The role of policy's response to current output under endogenous investment

Kevin Huang (), Qinglai Meng and Jianpo Xue

Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2009, vol. 33, issue 2, 409-430

Abstract: We show that, with endogenous investment, virtually all monetary policy rules that set a nominal interest rate in response solely to expected future inflation induce real indeterminacy in models with (i) staggered prices, (ii) staggered prices and staggered wages, and (iii) staggered prices, staggered wages, and firm-specific capital. In (i), policy's response to current output can help significantly in ensuring determinacy with an infinite labor supply elasticity, but little with empirically plausible labor supply elasticity. In (ii), responding to output always helps a great deal, though under low price stickiness and without capital adjustment cost it may call for a moderate response to output in order to ensure determinacy for a wide range of response to inflation. In (iii), even a tiny response to output can always render equilibrium determinate for a wide range of response to inflation.

Keywords: Forward-looking; inflation; targeting; Current; output; Endogenous; investment; Nominal; rigidities; Firm-specific; capital (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2009
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (21)

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Related works:
Working Paper: Is Forward-Looking Inflation Targeting Destabilizing? The Role of Policy's Response to Current Output under Endogenous Investment (2007) Downloads
Working Paper: Is forward-looking inflation targeting destabilizing? The role of policy's response to current output under endogenous investment (2007) Downloads
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Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control is currently edited by J. Bullard, C. Chiarella, H. Dawid, C. H. Hommes, P. Klein and C. Otrok

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