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Leverage management in a bull–bear switching market

Min Dai, Hefei Wang and Zhou Yang

Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2012, vol. 36, issue 10, 1585-1599

Abstract: Should an investor unwind his portfolio in the face of changing economic conditions? We study an investor's optimal trading strategy with finite horizon and transaction costs in an economy that switches stochastically between two market conditions. We fully characterize the investor's time dependent investment strategy in a “bull” market and a “bear” market. We show that when the market switches from the “bull” market to the “bear” market, complete deleveraging, reducing the degree of leverage, or keeping leverage unchanged may all be optimal strategies, subject to underlying market conditions. We further show that the investor may optimally keep leverage unchanged in the “bear” market, particularly so for illiquid asset. On the other hand, a lower borrowing cost in the “bear” market would prevent sell offs.

Keywords: Leverage; Portfolio selection; Bull–bear switching market; Transaction costs (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C61 D11 D91 G11 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2012
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:dyncon:v:36:y:2012:i:10:p:1585-1599

DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2012.04.004

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Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control is currently edited by J. Bullard, C. Chiarella, H. Dawid, C. H. Hommes, P. Klein and C. Otrok

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