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Costly information transmission in continuous time with implications for credit rating announcements

Hefei Wang

Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2012, vol. 36, issue 9, 1402-1413

Abstract: This paper formulates a continuous-time information transmission model in which an altruistic sender privately observes a stochastic state variable, and incurs a communication cost when she broadcasts a message. We characterize the sender's optimal announcement strategy using an ordinary differential equation. We prove the optimality of the sender's strategies using a martingale verification argument and show that the sender's optimal strategy involves sending discrete messages. Furthermore, we apply the model to the timing decision of credit rating announcements and provide a framework to study various aspects of rating announcements, such as the probability of rating reversals and the expected time before a rating change.

Keywords: Dynamic information transmission; Costly talk; Credit rating announcement (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C61 D81 D83 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2012
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:dyncon:v:36:y:2012:i:9:p:1402-1413

DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2012.03.003

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Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control is currently edited by J. Bullard, C. Chiarella, H. Dawid, C. H. Hommes, P. Klein and C. Otrok

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