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Optimal adaptation strategies to face shocks on groundwater resources

Julia de Frutos Cachorro, Katrin Erdlenbruch and Mabel Tidball ()

Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2014, vol. 40, issue C, 134-153

Abstract: We consider an exogenous and reversible shock to a groundwater resource, namely a decrease in the recharge rate of the aquifer. We compare optimal extraction paths and the social costs of optimal adaptation in two cases: under certainty, i.e. when the date of occurrence of the shock is known, and under uncertainty, when the date of occurrence of the shock is a random variable. We show that an increase in uncertainty leads to a decrease in precautionary behavior in the short run and to an increase in precautionary behavior in the long run. We apply our model to the particular case of the Western la Mancha aquifer in Spain. We show that, in this context, it is advantageous for the water agency to acquire information on the date of the shock, especially for high-intensity and intermediate-risk events.

Keywords: Groundwater resource; Optimal behavior; Exogenous shock; Uncertainty (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C61 Q25 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (17)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:dyncon:v:40:y:2014:i:c:p:134-153

DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2014.01.005

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Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control is currently edited by J. Bullard, C. Chiarella, H. Dawid, C. H. Hommes, P. Klein and C. Otrok

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