Slow recoveries: Any role for corporate leverage?
Frank Smets and
Stefania Villa
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2016, vol. 70, issue C, 54-85
Abstract:
This paper examines whether financial conditions of the non-financial corporate sector can explain why the recovery from recessions in the United States is slower since the mid-1980s. Leverage by the corporate sector has increased significantly since the financial deregulation of the mid-1980s. Empirical evidence shows that slow recoveries are associated with a significant drop in the growth rates of investment and bank loans, and with a surge in the growth rates of corporate bonds. In an estimated dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model with a financial accelerator, counterfactual experiments based on estimates of two samples – 1965–1983 and 1984–2007 – show that the non-financial corporate indebtedness affects only marginally the speed of the recovery in the two samples.
Keywords: Speed of recoveries; Indebtedness; Financial frictions; Estimated DSGE model (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E32 E44 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (17)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:dyncon:v:70:y:2016:i:c:p:54-85
DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2016.06.003
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