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Interest rates and financial fragility

Yang Li ()

Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2017, vol. 82, issue C, 195-205

Abstract: How do the interest rates banks earn on their assets affect the susceptibility of the banking system to a self-fulfilling run by depositors? I study this question in a version of the model of Diamond and Dybvig (1983) with limited commitment and a non-trivial portfolio choice. I show that the relationship between these interest rates and financial fragility is often non-monotone. For example, a small increase in the return on illiquid investment (or a small increase in the term premium) may raise banks’ susceptibility to a run, while a larger increase would make the banking system more stable. The same is true for changes in short-term rates, holding the longer-term rates fixed. I provide a precise characterization of these comparative statics of financial fragility.

Keywords: Bank runs; Excess liquidity; Financial fragility; Portfolio choice; Term premium (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E43 E44 G21 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (12)

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Working Paper: Asset Returns and Financial Fragility (2016) Downloads
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:dyncon:v:82:y:2017:i:c:p:195-205

DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2017.06.009

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Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control is currently edited by J. Bullard, C. Chiarella, H. Dawid, C. H. Hommes, P. Klein and C. Otrok

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