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Reviving Kalecki’s business cycle model in a growth context

Reiner Franke

Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2018, vol. 91, issue C, 157-171

Abstract: In 1935 Kalecki formulated the first fully specified model of a macroeconomic dynamics in which he studied an endogenous and most elementary business cycle mechanism. To revive his insights, the present paper adapts his stationary economy to a growth context. Introducing a reasonable nonlinearity into the investment function, it then takes care that the model exhibits persistent cyclical behaviour that is characterized by a unique, globally attracting limit cycle. This feature is a robust property. A calibration of the numerical parameters achieves desired values for the cycle period as well as the amplitudes of the output-capital ratio and the capital growth rate. It is moreover demonstrated that a one-time shock to the dynamics can easily have long-lasting effects on the amplitudes. Despite common misgivings about delay differential equations (which here result from Kalecki’s implementation lag), the analysis can be conducted with a limited mathematical effort.

Keywords: Gestation period; Delay differential equations; Unique limit cycle; Calibration; Variations in the amplitude (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C13 E12 E30 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (10)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:dyncon:v:91:y:2018:i:c:p:157-171

DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2017.12.009

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Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control is currently edited by J. Bullard, C. Chiarella, H. Dawid, C. H. Hommes, P. Klein and C. Otrok

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