 Climate engineering under deep uncertaintyVassiliki Manoussi, Anastasios Xepapadeas and Johannes Emmerling Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2018, vol. 94, issue C, 207-224 Abstract: Climate engineering, and in particular solar radiation management (SRM), is attracting increasing attention as a climate policy option. However, its potentially strategic nature and unforeseen side effects provide major policy and scientific challenges. We study the role of SRM in a two-country model with the notable feature of deep uncertainty modeled as model misspecification of SRM side effects. We find that deep uncertainty leads to a reduction in SRM deployment under both global cooperation and strategic Nash behavior, and that the effect is larger if countries act strategically. Furthermore, we demonstrate that if countries have different model confidence about SRM impacts, then the more confident country will engage more strongly in using SRM, leading this country to “free drive”. Keywords: Climate change; Solar radiation management; Uncertainty; Robust control; Differential game (search for similar items in EconPapers) Downloads: (external link) Related works: Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:dyncon:v:94:y:2018:i:c:p:207-224 DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2018.06.003 Access Statistics for this article Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control is currently edited by J. Bullard, C. Chiarella, H. Dawid, C. H. Hommes, P. Klein and C. Otrok More articles in Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control from Elsevier |
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