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Term structure transmission of monetary policy

Sharon Kozicki and Peter Tinsley

The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 2008, vol. 19, issue 1, 71-92

Abstract: Under bond rate transmission of monetary policy, standard restrictions on policy responses to obtain determinate inflation need not apply. In periods of passive policy, bond rates may exhibit stable responses to inflation if future policy is anticipated to be active, or if time-varying term premiums incorporate inflation-dependent risk pricing. We derive a generalized Taylor Principle that requires a lower bound to the average anticipated path of forward rate responses to inflation. We also present a no-arbitrage term structure model with horizon-dependent policy and time-varying term premiums to explain mechanics and provide empirical results supporting these channels.

Date: 2008
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (5)

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Related works:
Working Paper: Term Structure Transmission of Monetary Policy (2007) Downloads
Working Paper: Term structure transmission of monetary policy (2005) Downloads
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