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The effect of economic policy uncertainty on China’s housing market

Wei-Ling Huang, Wen-Yuan Lin and Shao-Lin Ning

The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 2020, vol. 54, issue C

Abstract: This study examines the relationship between economic policy uncertainty (EPU) and housing price at the macro-level in China as a developing country. The empirical evidence indicates that EPU has a leading effect on China’s housing market. In general, the housing market is prosperous when economic policy is stable and there is a positive relationship between housing price variation and EPU, which means housing market risk grows under unstable economic policies in this developing economy. Moreover, economic policy variation affects low-amplitude changes in housing prices. A variation of policy uncertainty enhances the risk premium of the housing market. By contrast, the level of EPU influences high-amplitude changes in housing prices, which reflects the trend of EPU dominating China's housing market.

Keywords: Economic policy uncertainty; Housing price; China’s housing market; Developing economy (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E63 O20 R32 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (15)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:ecofin:v:54:y:2020:i:c:s1062940818301700

DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2018.09.008

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