Short-term institutions’ information advantage and overvaluation
Brian Du,
Alejandro Serrano and
Andre Vianna
The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 2021, vol. 55, issue C
Abstract:
Prior literature has documented that institutions which trade more frequently are better able to forecast future returns and have an informational advantage. This study examines a proximate explanation for the differences in performance based on institutions’ investment horizon – short-term institutions are better informed because they are better able to identify overvalued stocks that are short-sale constrained and overvalued in the context of Miller’s (1977) overvaluation hypothesis. Analysis is conducted on 6330 unique firms from 1996 to 2014 using the calendar-time portfolio approach where abnormal returns are estimated from the Fama-French-Carhart four-factor regression model. The results provide evidence that stocks which are extremely overvalued due to short-sale constraints have the greatest decline in short-term institutional ownership, consistent with the notion that short-term institutions are able to correctly assess the components for stock overvaluation.
Keywords: Short interest; Institutional ownership; Short-sale constraints (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G12 G14 G20 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:ecofin:v:55:y:2021:i:c:s1062940820301893
DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2020.101299
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