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Heterogeneous beliefs with herding behaviors and asset pricing in two goods world

Hailong Wang and Duni Hu

The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 2021, vol. 57, issue C

Abstract: We construct a incomplete information equilibrium model with heterogeneous beliefs and herding behaviors to identify their joint effects on the dynamics of asset prices. Herding behaviors make investors revise some of their estimations about expected growth rates of goods streams toward to the other one’s by a manner of weighted average of their own forecast and the other’s. As we expected, herding behaviors generate influences on the Radon Nikodym derivative, that is so-called “sentiment” as in Dumas et al. (2009), and in turn not only impact the dynamics of asset prices but also generate influences on investors’ survivals. We also show that introducing heterogeneous beliefs with herding behaviors permits to explain both the Backus–Smith puzzle and the mixed results about the influences of herding behaviors on asset prices. Moreover, we uncover that herding behaviors have positive influences on stocks’ risk premiums.

Keywords: Heterogeneous belief; Herding behavior; Asset pricing; Backus–Smith puzzle; Risk premium (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D51 D53 D91 G11 G12 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:ecofin:v:57:y:2021:i:c:s1062940821000632

DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2021.101434

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