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Common analyst links and predictable returns: Evidence from China

Biao Yi and Shuxin Guo

The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 2022, vol. 63, issue C

Abstract: Based on shared analyst coverage, we are the first to document the common-analyst momentum (CAM) effect in China. Empirically, we show that average returns of common-analyst peer firms have strong predictive power for future focal firm returns. Moreover, the CAM effect is stronger than other cross-asset momentum (XAM) effects. Interestingly but differently, the CAM cannot unify other XAM effects as the U.S. market does. Exploiting the underlying mechanism, we find that common-analyst-connected firms are fundamentally similar. Further, the CAM effect is stronger when inter-firm linkages are stronger when the information processing task is more complex and on earnings announcement dates. We conclude that sluggish analyst forecasting and investors’ attention constraint could contribute to the stronger CAM effect, and our results support the hypothesis that slow information diffusion generates the CAM effect.

Keywords: Shared analyst coverage; Common-analyst momentum; Linked firms; Cross-asset momentum; Return predictability (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G10 G12 G14 G15 G17 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:ecofin:v:63:y:2022:i:c:s106294082200167x

DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2022.101832

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