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A penalized U-MIDAS multinomial logit model with applications to corporate credit ratings

Cuixia Jiang, Junwei Sun and Qifa Xu

The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 2025, vol. 76, issue C

Abstract: We develop a penalized U-MIDAS-Mlogit model by introducing the group LASSO penalty into the unrestricted MIDAS multinomial logit model. This penalized U-MIDAS-Mlogit model can implement multinomial classification in a high-dimensional mixed-frequency data environment. We apply it to credit ratings for listed companies in China over the period 2008–2023. The penalized U-MIDAS-Mlogit model can extract pivotal information from high-frequency financial variables and low-frequency internal and external governance indicators. It outperforms several competing models in predicting credit ratings.

Keywords: Corporate credit ratings; U-MIDAS regression; Multinomial logit model; Group LASSO (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C58 G32 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:ecofin:v:76:y:2025:i:c:s106294082500021x

DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2025.102381

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