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Learning from the Ancient Maya: Exploring the Impact of Drought on Population Dynamics

Linda Kuil, Gemma Carr, Alexia Fürnkranz-Prskawetz, José Luis Salinas, Alberto Viglione and Günter Blöschl

Ecological Economics, 2019, vol. 157, issue C, 1-16

Abstract: Understanding the relationship between drought and population dynamics is increasingly important, particularly in areas where high population growth corresponds with increasing drought risk due to climate change. We examine the relationship between drought events and population dynamics using a stylized hydrology-demography model that has been calibrated to simulate plausible feedbacks for the population decline of the Ancient Maya of Central America. We employ a deterministic and a stochastic approach.

Keywords: Population-resource model; Socio-hydrology; Virtual water; Drought; Vulnerability; Climate change (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019
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Handle: RePEc:eee:ecolec:v:157:y:2019:i:c:p:1-16