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Restoring monotonic power in Wald/LM-type tests

Jilin Wu

Economics Letters, 2015, vol. 126, issue C, 13-17

Abstract: Wald/LM-type tests for a shift in mean often exhibit nonmonotonic power, due to incorrect estimation of long-run variance. In this paper, we propose a robust estimator of long-run variance that is built on nonparametric regression residuals and always converges to the true long-run variance under both the null and the alternative hypothesis. Monte Carlo experiments show that the modified tests have monotonic power against the mean with single or multiple breaks in finite samples.

Keywords: Long-run variance; Nonmonotonic power; Wald/LM-type tests (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C12 C22 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015
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Handle: RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:126:y:2015:i:c:p:13-17