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Expectations in an open economy hyperinflation: Evidence from Germany 1921–23

Alessio Reghezza (), Elena Seghezza () and John Thornton

Economics Letters, 2020, vol. 192, issue C

Abstract: We reconsider the Beladi et al. (1993) technique to measure expectations in hyperinflation episodes by allowing money to be substitutable with foreign assets as well as goods. We determine new correctness conditions for adaptive and rational expectations formation in this context and show that, taking into account these conditions, the data for the German hyperinflation of the 1920s is consistent with rational expectation formation.

Keywords: Rational expectations; Adaptive expectations; Hyperinflation; Germany (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E31 E41 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:192:y:2020:i:c:s0165176520301336

DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2020.109176

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