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A self-normalization test for correlation change

Ji-Eun Choi and Dong Wan Shin

Economics Letters, 2020, vol. 193, issue C

Abstract: We propose a new CUSUM-type test for a correlation break based on the self-normalization method. The self-normalization test is implemented much simpler than the existing tests based on the long-run variance which need to specify bandwidths and to evaluate complicated consistent estimators for the long-run variances. The limiting null distribution and consistency of the proposed test under an alternative are established. A Monte Carlo simulation demonstrates that the self-normalization test has reasonable size and comparable power, but the existing tests have severe size distortions for serially correlated and/or conditionally heteroscedastic samples. An analysis of returns and realized volatilities of some US, Europe and Japan stock prices by the proposed test indicates absence of correlation break during the period of global financial crisis while those by the existing tests indicate presence of it.

Keywords: Conditional heteroscedasticity; Correlation break; CUSUM test; Self-normalization; Serial dependence (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C12 C22 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:193:y:2020:i:c:s016517651930045x

DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2019.02.007

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