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Talking fragmentation away – Decoding the ’whatever it takes’ effect

Martin Baumgärtner and Johannes Zahner

Economics Letters, 2024, vol. 234, issue C

Abstract: In 2022, the ECB introduced a new instrument designed to combat fragmentation in euro area government bond yields. To assess the ECB’s effectiveness in addressing fragmentation through existing instruments, particularly communication, we turn to a pivotal historical event – Mario Draghi’s famous “whatever it takes” speech. Widely interpreted as a commitment by the ECB to act as a lender of last resort, this speech eased tensions in bond markets. Employing state-of-the-art computational linguistics, we create an index that quantifies the ECB’s commitment to act as a lender of last resort based on this historic speech. Our index highlights the ECB’s central role in stabilizing financial markets, especially during periods of heightened uncertainty.

Keywords: Natural language processing; Embedding; Central bank communication; Transfer learning; Fragmentation; Financial stability (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C45 E52 Z13 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:234:y:2024:i:c:s0165176523005104

DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2023.111484

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