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Costly number seven

Patrick Roger and Tristan Roger

Economics Letters, 2025, vol. 255, issue C

Abstract: Lotto players often choose numbers non-randomly, a behavior known as conscious selection. In many Western countries, the number 7 is considered lucky, causing it to be disproportionately selected in lotto games. This study quantifies the financial cost of this tendency using data from lotto games in Belgium (2011–2025) and France (2002–2008, 2019–2025), as well as Euromillions data (2016–2025). Due to the parimutuel payout system, tickets containing the number 7 earn significantly lower prizes than those without it. We find that this cost persists across different game formats and time periods.

Keywords: Conscious selection; Games of chance; Lotteries; Superstition (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:255:y:2025:i:c:s0165176525003568

DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2025.112519

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