Forecasting the ECB's main refinancing rate. A field experiment
Michael Berlemann ()
Economics Letters, 2008, vol. 99, issue 2, 379-383
When no appropriate markets to derive expectations on economic variables are available surveying methods are often employed. However, surveys suffer from the problem of how to aggregate individual expectations in a reasonable manner. We show at the example of a market on the ECB's main refinancing rate that experimental markets aggregate information quite efficiently and thus are a useful tool in this respect.
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:99:y:2008:i:2:p:379-383
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