Ecological Modelling

2007 - 2025

Current editor(s): Brian D. Fath

From Elsevier
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2025, volume 507, articles C

SyrFitSources: An agent-based model to investigate the effects of land use on the population dynamics of aphidophagous hoverflies

Mario App, Niels Hellwig, Anne-Kathrin Schneider-Hohenbrink, Johannes Burmeister, Boris Schröder and Jan Thiele

Ecological modelling for transformation

Rico Fischer, Martin Drechsler, Karin Frank, Uta Berger, Hsiao-Hsuan Wang, Christina Semeniuk, Amanda Armstrong and Volker Grimm

A generational randomized growth model for fall-spawning Atlantic herring: Insights from real-world data

Jacob Burbank, Juan-Carlos Cortés, Cristina Luisovna Pérez and Rafael-Jacinto Villanueva

Recommendations for estimating and detecting time-varying spawner-recruit dynamics in fish populations

Catarina Wor, Dan A. Greenberg, Carrie A. Holt, Brendan Connors, Megan L. Feddern, Cameron Freshwater, Gregory L. Britten and Mackenzie Mazur

Optimizing forest management in the face of bark beetle risk

Joyce M.N. Romeiro, Victor F. Strîmbu, Tron Eid and Annika Kangas

Elasticity analysis of population growth: Implications of matrix model construction

Stefano Giaimo

Analyzing the impacts of mucilage in the Sea of Marmara: A system dynamics approach integrating sustainability perspectives

Duygun Fatih Demirel and Eylül Damla Gönül-Sezer

Modeling a comprehensive multi-criteria, multi-period framework for assessing global sustainability performance: Insights from 164 selected countries

Luiz C. Terra dos Santos, Biagio F. Giannetti, Feni Agostinho and Cecilia M.V.B. Almeida

Modeling rodent population and pathogen dynamics in agricultural environments: Assessing the impact of control strategies on disease transmission

Marina Voinson, Bram Vanden Broecke, Herwig Leirs and Vincent Sluydts

How well do SDMs calibrated at large extents predict distribution in sub-areas: A case study

Moritz Fallgatter, Stefan Dullinger, Karl Hülber, Dietmar Moser, Norbert Helm, Kryštof Chytrý, Johannes Hausharter and Johannes Wessely

Sub-seasonal forecasting of thermal stress for Swiss river fishes during heatwaves

Adeline Bonaglia, Chenyu Shen, Ryan S. Padrón, Konrad Bogner, Fabian Fopp, Aurélie Rubin, Jean-François Rubin, Antoine Adde, Antoine Guisan, Camille Albouy and Loïc Pellissier

Modeling water quality in a subalpine lake

Jonathan Clough, Brenda Rashleigh, Rajbir Parmar, Kurt Wolfe, Christopher D. Knightes and Deron Smith

Research on ecosystem service value and landscape ecological risk prediction and zoning: Taking Fujian province as an example

Fan Wang, Yun Wu, Yao Zhang, Jiawei Wang, Zhijie Xue, Xin Tan and Wen Jia

Modelling forest-atmosphere exchanges of carbon and water using an improved hydro-biogeochemical model in subtropical and temperate monsoon climates

Wei Zhang, Xunhua Zheng, Siqi Li, Shenghui Han, Chunyan Liu, Zhisheng Yao, Rui Wang, Kai Wang, Xiao Chen, Guirui Yu, Zhi Chen, Jiabing Wu, Huimin Wang, Junhua Yan and Yong Li

Fluctuations in real population sizes: Mathematical modeling and estimation of demographic parameters

Oksana Revutskaya, Galina Neverova and Efim Frisman

Statistical detection of density dependent parameter variation in growth curve models

Md Aktar Ul Karim, Hardik Kiran Balsaraf, Aryan Anurag Tibrewala and Amiya Ranjan Bhowmick

Improving species distribution models by optimising background points: Impacts on current and future climate projections

Armand Rausell-Moreno, Núria Galiana, Babak Naimi and Miguel B. Araújo

Foraging of wading birds on a patchy landscape: Simulating effects of social information, interference competition, and patch selection on prey intake and individual distribution

Hyo Won Lee, Donald L. DeAngelis, Simeon Yurek and Yannis P. Papastamatiou

Connecting the dots: Assessing landscape connectivity algorithms for biodiversity conservation

Peter Schippers, Rogier Pouwels and Jana Verboom

Predicting biological control performance under global change using model-based exploration of predator-prey dynamics: application to the Nesidiocoris tenuis - Tuta absoluta system

Isabelle Grechi, Mame Diarra Bousso Ba, Philippe Correa, Massamba Diakhaté, Thibault Nordey, Serigne Sylla, Thierry Brévault and Anaïs Chailleux

Application of a modified aggregated dead zone model to estimate radionuclide transport in running surface water bodies

Vladimir Sizonenko and Igor Sinitsyn

Reddening in action: Exploring color changes in food web dynamics

Milko Vesterinen, Tommi Perälä and Anna Kuparinen

Integrating functional connectivity and habitat stability into fish habitat assessment and optimizing ecological operation

Shiwei Yang, Tao Yang, Ruifeng Liang, Yuanming Wang and Kefeng Li

Assessment of the sustainable development status of districts and counties in the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration

Rui Huang, Qing Huang, Prajal Pradhan, Yixuan Wang and Klaus Hubacek

A cellular necrosis process model for estimating conifer crown scorch

Kate J. Fuller, Leda N. Kobziar, Rodman R. Linn and Sharon M. Hood

A multi-scale approach for integrating species distribution models with landscape connectivity to identify critical linkage zones for African savanna elephants (Loxodonta africana)

Lei Song, Amy E. Frazier, Anna Bond Estes and Lyndon Despard Estes

2025, volume 506, articles C

A multi-stochastic fractional programming for sustainable forestry ecological restoration: Managing uncertainties in Kashgar Region, Xinjiang

Yi Bai, Guohe Huang, Dencheng Han, Bin Luo, Yongping Li and Shan Zhao

Can inverse calibration help improving process-explicit species distribution models?

Victor Van der Meersch and Isabelle Chuine

Environmental system dynamics: Current development and applications

Sihui Xin, Zhouyuan Li, Junsong Nong, Jiaxin Wu, Xinwei Zou, Ruijin Wu, Shikui Dong, Rongling Wu and Shaopeng Wang

Exploring the spatio-temporal dynamics of disturbed metacommunities: A mechanistic modeling approach to species resistance and resilience strategies in drying river networks

Lysandre Journiac, Franck Jabot, Claire Jacquet, Annika Künne, Mathis Loïc Messager, Louise Mimeau, Thibault Datry, Núria Bonada, François Munoz and Loïc Chalmandrier

When can few-species models describe dynamics within a complex community?

Stav Marcus and Guy Bunin

Application of an age-structured model to anchovy population in the Yellow Sea: Effects of fishing moratorium and selective fishing

Luwei Wang and Zhengyang Zhang

System dynamics applied to the e-waste value chain: A brazilian case study

Emmanuelle Soares de Carvalho Freitas and Lúcia Helena Xavier

Mapping agency in urban metabolism research. A systematic characterisation of urban-level resource-use assessment models based on levels of engagement with agents

Ehsan Ahmadian and Daniela Perrotti

How are diameter growth, forest structure and carrying capacity related in tree populations?

Thiago Floriani Stepka, Patrícia Povoa de Mattos, Afonso Figueiredo Filho, Sebastião do Amaral Machado and Evaldo Muñoz Braz

A system dynamics modeling framework to evaluate impacts on economic, environmental, and social quality components of a U.S. Midwestern agroecosystem transitioning from row crop agriculture to mixed farming systems

Papanicolaou, Athanasios (Thanos) N., Keshav Basnet, O’Brien, Peter L., Kenneth M. Wacha, Robert W. Malone and David W. Archer

Effects of intraguild predation on growth of sea anemone and scyphozoan with age structure

Shiyang Yu, Congbo Xie and Meng Fan

Unified process model-based assessment of environmental interactions and ecosystem services of a managed fishpond-reed agroecosystem

P Sharma, G Gyalog and M Varga

Study in the ecosystem structure and trophodynamics in the Kuroshio-Oyashio Extension area

Gan Chen, Wen Wang, Rongrong Zhao, Qiuyun Ma, Shaoqin Wang, Siquan Tian and Dongyan Han

Stochastic disturbances and delays drive coexistence and extinction in competing populations

Tianyuan Chen, Huayong Zhang, Yihe Zhang and Zhongyu Wang

Elasmobranch vulnerability to global warming: insights from bioenergetic modelling of catsharks under climate scenarios

Noémie Coulon, Sophie Elliott, Thomas Barreau, Julie Lucas, Emma Gousset, Eric Feunteun and Alexandre Carpentier

Ecological models for tomorrow’s solutions

George Arhonditsis, Juan A. Blanco, Hsiao-Hsuan Wang, Alexey Neuman, Carlos A. Arnillas and Brian D. Fath

Radial growth models for Pedunculate Oak in the Baltics, Latvia

Agnese Anta Liepiņa, Roberts Matisons, Kārlis Bičkovskis, Guntis Brūmelis and Āris Jansons

Integration of multi-layer perceptron neural network and cellular Automata-Markov chain approach for the prediction of land use land cover in land change modeler

Preetam Choudhary, C.P. Devatha and Adani Azhoni

Algorithms going wild – A review of machine learning techniques for terrestrial ecology

Cristina Cipriano, Sergio Noce, Simone Mereu and Monia Santini

Assessing the impact of climate-induced heatwaves on habitat conditions for reservoir fish communities

Manuel Almeida and Pedro Coelho

2025, volume 505, articles C

Predicting frugivore generated seed rain in different environmental contexts: a modelling approach applied to a forest specialist

Eduardo M. Zanette, Ronald B. Bialozyt, Mayara M. Santos, Anne Sophie de Almeida e Silva, Felipe Bufalo, Olivier Kaisin, Yness Messaoudi, Mirela Alcolea, Eckhard W. Heymann and Laurence Culot

Dynamic energy budget (DEB) parameter estimation for the globally invasive Quagga Mussel (Dreissena rostriformis bugensis)

T. Pu, S.S. Keretz, A.K. Elgin, C.M. Godwin, M.D. Rowe, H.J. Carrick, P.W. Glyshaw, R.M. Pietscher and H.A. Vanderploeg

Anatomy of the last days of a long transient spatial pattern: The ecological mechanism by which a traveling wave spatial patterns may end

Linhao Xu and Donald L. DeAngelis

Analysis of the impact of fear in the presence of additional food and prey refuge with nonlocal predator–prey models

Sangeeta Saha, Swadesh Pal and Roderick Melnik

Modeling China's carbon emission reduction trajectory and peak path using a system dynamic approach

Ruoyu Dong, Cong Fu, Yan Liu, Yanqing Xu and Kenan Li

Current bioclimatic suitability and climate change impacts on the risk of cacao moniliasis invasion in Pará

Vandeilson Belfort Moura, Lucionila Pimentel Pantoja, Euclides Holanda Cavalcante Filho, Rafael Antônio Haber, Victor Leandro-Silva, Deborah Luciany Pires Costa, Miguel Alves Júnior, Tayssa Menezes Franco, Maryelle Kleyce Machado Nery, Matheus Lima Rua and Paulo Jorge de Oliveira Ponte de Souza

Modeling water quality and cyanobacteria blooms in Lake Okeechobee: II. Dynamics of diurnal cycles and impacts of cyanobacteria diel vertical migration

Mingshun Jiang, Jennifer Cannizzaro, Malcolm N. McFarland, Zackary Wistort, Jordon S. Beckler, Chuanmin Hu and Timothy Moore

Optimising profits from timber harvest and the biodiversity conservation value in a central European beech forest using a novel bioeconomic forestry model

Markus E. Schorn, Martin Quaas, Hanna Schenk, Christian Wirth and Nadja Rüger

Spatially explicit individual-based model reveals the mauve stinger jellyfish distribution in the Mediterranean Sea

Martin Vodopivec and Alenka Malej

Coral bleaching dynamics on the Great Barrier Reef: New insights from a mathematical model

Kaitlyn Brown, Robyn P. Araujo, Paul Corry and Adrianne L. Jenner

Explicit predictions of species richness from net primary productivity: setting and discussion

Allen G. Hunt

Combining national forest inventories reveals distinct role of climate on tree recruitment in European forests

Louis A. König, Frits Mohren, Mart-Jan Schelhaas, Julen Astigarraga, Emil Cienciala, Roman Flury, Jonas Fridman, Leen Govaere, Aleksi Lehtonen, Adriane E. Muelbert, Thomas A.M. Pugh, Brigitte Rohner, Paloma Ruiz-Benito, Susanne Suvanto, Andrzej Talarczyk, Miguel A. Zavala, Jose Medina Vega, Igor Staritsky, Geerten Hengeveld and Gert-Jan Nabuurs

Drivers of aboveground biomass in Quercus wutaishanica Mayr forests based on random forest and structural equation modeling: A cross-scale analysis

Shuaishuai Ma, Huayong Zhang, Zhongyu Wang, Hengchao Zou and Xiaona Xu

Spatiotemporal decoupling of CO₂ and warming effects in arid grasslands: Grazing-mediated vulnerabilities in Central Asia (2005–2050)

Shihua Zhu, Ziwei Pei, Yachun Li, Xin Hang and Meng Xu

Forecasting the risk of Phytophthora cinnamomi related-decline in Mediterranean forest ecosystems under climate change scenarios

Adrián Cidre-González, Francisco José Ruiz-Gómez, Francisco Javier Bonet and Pablo González-Moreno

Improving process-based modeling of crop production in the DayCent ecosystem model with solar-induced chlorophyll fluorescence

Wenguang Sun, Stephen M. Ogle, Yao Zhang, Andrew E. Schuh, Ian T Baker, Troy S. Magney, Francis Ulep and Shahriar S. Heydari

Unveiling the impacts of noise pollution on marine fish community dynamics

Liyun Hou, Yan Lu, Nuo Xu and Lai Zhang

Construction and evaluation of the Panjin wetland ecological network based on the minimum cumulative resistance model

Yujia Lu, Qian Cheng and Meiqing Wang

Evaluating comprehensive watershed management sustainability based on the emergy ecological footprint model: A case study of Hainan Island, China

Xudong Lu, Jiadong Chen, Jianchao Guo, Hui Wu, Qin Zuo, Yizhuang Chen, Xian Huang and Shi Qi

Estimating stomatal conductance under drought: Parameterizing a phenomenological model and evaluating roles of the energy balance equation

Qian Liu, Fangmin Zhang and Xinyou Yin

A generalized wildfire containment algorithm

Mark A. Finney, Scott N. Zimmer, Karin L. Riley and Isaac C. Grenfell