Spurious cross-sectional dependence in credit spread changes

Marcin Jaskowski and Michael McAleer

Econometrics and Statistics, 2021, vol. 18, issue C, 12-27

Abstract: In order to understand the lingering credit risk puzzle and the apparent segmentation of the stock market from credit markets, we need to be able to assess the strength of the cross-sectional dependence in credit spreads. This turns out to be a non-trivial task due to the extreme data sparsity that is typical for any panel of credit spreads that is extracted from corporate bond transactions. The problem of data sparsity has led to some erroneous conclusions in the literature, including inferences that have been drawn from spurious cross-sectional dependence in credit spread changes. Understanding the pitfalls leads to improved estimation of the latent factor in credit spread changes and its characteristics.

Keywords: Credit spread puzzle; Market segmentation; Latent factors; Spurious cross-sectional dependence (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E43 G12 G13 G17 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
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Related works:
Working Paper: Spurious Cross-Sectional Dependence in Credit Spread Changes (2018)
Working Paper: Spurious Cross-Sectional Dependence in Credit Spread Changes (2018)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:ecosta:v:18:y:2021:i:c:p:12-27

DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosta.2019.09.001

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