How to foresee banking crises? A survey of the empirical literature

Karlo Kauko

Economic Systems, 2014, vol. 38, issue 3, 289-308

Abstract: A survey of the empirical literature on early warning indicators of banking crises is presented. Descriptive analyses have been published for decades, but cross-national panel data analyses have only been performed since the late 1990s. More recently, the severity of the subprime-Lehman crisis has been compared across countries. Most findings corroborate the view that during a typical build-up phase, banks borrow internationally to finance domestic lending, boosting the current account deficit and causing a real estate bubble. Increasing debt and imbalances lead to a crisis. Both developing and developed countries have experienced these kinds of boom-bust cycles.

Keywords: Banking crisis; Financial crisis; Early warning; Financial instability (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E44 G01 G17 N10 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (62)

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0939362514000545
Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:ecosys:v:38:y:2014:i:3:p:289-308

DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosys.2014.01.001

Access Statistics for this article

Economic Systems is currently edited by R. Frensch

More articles in Economic Systems from Elsevier Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Catherine Liu ().