Oil structural shocks, bank-level characteristics, and systemic risk: Evidence from dual banking systems

Aktham Maghyereh, Hussein Abdoh and Mohammad Al-Shboul

Economic Systems, 2022, vol. 46, issue 4

Abstract: By performing a structural VAR analysis on oil price shocks, we provide an evidence on how the origins of oil price shocks impact the risk level of banks in oil-exporting countries and whether bank-level characteristics can influence the sensitivity of risk to oil shocks. When conducting panel regression analysis, we document the following findings. First, not all shocks have the same effect on bank risk. Due to oil supply shocks, the increase in oil price raises bank risk, whereas the similar increase in price due to economic expansion or oil-market specific demand reduces that risk. Second, the business model (whether the bank is Islamic or conventional), size, income diversification, profitability, and financial leverage influence the bank risk exposure to oil shocks differently. Third, the two major recent crises (global financial crises and COVID-19 pandemic) magnified bank risk exposure to oil supply shocks and speculative oil demand shocks. Overall, the structural oil shocks explain a large fraction of the variation in financial stability in GCC countries.

Keywords: Bank risk; Financial stability; Oil price shocks; GCC countries; Global crises; Bank-level characteristics (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E32 E44 G01 G21 G32 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:ecosys:v:46:y:2022:i:4:s0939362522001005

DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosys.2022.101038

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