What sort of Brexit do the British people want? A longitudinal study examining the ‘trade-offs’ people would be willing to make in reaching a Brexit deal

Hui Lu, Charlene Rohr, David Howarth, Alexandra Pollitt and Jonathan Grant

Journal of choice modelling, 2020, vol. 37, issue C

Abstract: In a referendum in March 2016, the British public voted by a margin of 52 per cent to 48 per cent to leave the European Union. Unfortunately, the referendum question provides little information on the sort of relationship Britons desire with the EU. The purpose of this study is to use stated choice experiments (CEs) to understand and quantify what aspects of the relationship between Britain and the EU are important to the public and what trade-offs they would be willing to make. The CEs are undertaken with a random probability sample of the public at two points in time, 2017 and 2018, to allow us to explore how preferences might have changed over time. We developed a series of discrete choice models ranging from Scaled Multinomial Logit models (SMNLs) to Latent Class models (LCMs) to understand and quantify public preferences and to explore how they vary across the population. The results are used to assess how positively or negatively the public value different plausible Brexit negotiation positions.

Keywords: Brexit; Stated choice experiments; Discrete choice modelling; Political science; Longitudinal study (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1755534520300324
Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:eejocm:v:37:y:2020:i:c:s1755534520300324

DOI: 10.1016/j.jocm.2020.100233

Access Statistics for this article

Journal of choice modelling is currently edited by S. Hess and J.M. Rose

More articles in Journal of choice modelling from Elsevier
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Catherine Liu ().