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The spillover effects of China's monetary policy shock: Evidence from B&R countries

Yong Chen, Dingming Liu and Ziguan Zhuang

Emerging Markets Review, 2023, vol. 55, issue C

Abstract: This paper examines the international spillover effects of China's monetary policy shock on macro and financial variables in 26 countries along the Belt and Road (B&R) from 2000 to 2019. We find that a surprise Chinese monetary tightening brings about a widening in the short-term interest rate spread, a drop in the equity price, nominal depreciation against the RMB and real depreciation, and an improvement in the trade balance, on average, across the 26 B&R countries. Moreover, substantial heterogeneous effects emerge in the responses of the foreign real exchange rate and the trade balance in different groups in terms of the 26 countries' trade weights with China, capital openness, and national income levels. Finally, all the empirical evidence reveals that the expenditure switching effect plays an important role in facilitating the international transmission of China's monetary policy shock.

Keywords: Monetary policy shock; Spillover effects; B&R countries (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E52 F3 F4 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:ememar:v:55:y:2023:i:c:s1566014122000693

DOI: 10.1016/j.ememar.2022.100952

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