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How did the financial crisis alter the correlations of U.S. yield spreads?

Silvio Contessi, Pierangelo De Pace () and Massimo Guidolin ()

Journal of Empirical Finance, 2014, vol. 28, issue C, 362-385

Abstract: We investigate the pairwise correlations of eleven U.S. fixed income yield spreads over a sample that includes the Great Financial Crisis of 2007–09. Using cross-sectional methods and nonparametric bootstrap breakpoint tests, we characterize the crisis as a period in which pairwise correlations between yield spreads were systematically and significantly altered in the sense that spreads comoved with one another much more than in normal times. We find evidence that, for almost half of the fifty-five pairs under investigation, the crisis has left spreads much more correlated than they were previously. This evidence is particularly strong for liquidity- and default-risk-related spreads, long-term spreads, and the spreads that were most likely directly affected by policy interventions.

Keywords: Yield spreads; Correlations; Breakpoint tests; Nonparametric bootstrap; Credit risk; Liquidity risk (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E40 E52 C23 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014
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Working Paper: How did the financial crisis alter the correlations of U.S. yield spreads? (2013) Downloads
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DOI: 10.1016/j.jempfin.2014.04.005

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