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Does meeting analysts’ forecasts matter in the private loan market?

Chen-Lung Chin, Mei-Hui Chen and Po-Hsiang Yu

Journal of Empirical Finance, 2018, vol. 48, issue C, 321-340

Abstract: Prior studies find that firms meeting or beating analysts’ earnings expectations (MBE) have higher equity valuation and lower bond yield spread. In contract to those studies which focus on public financial markets, this paper explores a firm’s MBE effect on its private loan terms, including price and non-price terms. We find that, despite the fact that banks possess superior information access and processing abilities that reduce information asymmetry costs for borrowers, they still impose more favorable price (i.e., lower loan spread) and non-price (longer loan maturity) terms for firms meeting expectations than for firms missing expectations. In addition, we find that the benefits of meeting expectations (i.e. lower loan spread and longer maturity) are more pronounced for financially distressed firms (habitual beaters) than financially sound firms (sporadic beaters). Further analyses document whether and how prospect theory can be used to explain differential loan terms.

Keywords: Meeting analysts’ earnings expectations; Loan market; Loan spread; Loan maturity (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G20 G21 G32 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:empfin:v:48:y:2018:i:c:p:321-340

DOI: 10.1016/j.jempfin.2018.07.005

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Journal of Empirical Finance is currently edited by R. T. Baillie, F. C. Palm, Th. J. Vermaelen and C. C. P. Wolff

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