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Option price implied information and REIT returns

Jie Cao, Bing Han, Linjia Song and Xintong Zhan

Journal of Empirical Finance, 2023, vol. 71, issue C, 13-28

Abstract: We investigate stock return predictability by various option price-based measures using real estate investment trusts (REITs). REITs are more transparent and efficiently priced than general stocks, but REIT options are less liquid. We find that most of the option price-based measures do not significantly forecast REIT stock returns, but changes in option implied volatilities are robust and significant return predictors. We provide further evidence supporting the informed trading channel instead of price pressure effects as the explanation for this return predictability.

Keywords: Informed trading in options; Stock return predictability; Real estate investment trusts (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G12 G14 R30 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:empfin:v:71:y:2023:i:c:p:13-28

DOI: 10.1016/j.jempfin.2022.12.013

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Journal of Empirical Finance is currently edited by R. T. Baillie, F. C. Palm, Th. J. Vermaelen and C. C. P. Wolff

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