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Gold, platinum, and mutual fund flows

Ali K. Malik, Gonul Colak and Anders Löflund

Journal of Empirical Finance, 2024, vol. 79, issue C

Abstract: Huang and Kilic (2019) demonstrate that gold to platinum price ratio (GP), which proxies for tail risk in the economy, is a priced risk factor in the cross-section of stock returns. We document that GP negatively affects the mutual fund flows of the active equity funds. In cross-sectional regressions, we find that funds with high betas with respect to the change in GP (βΔGP) have larger future fund flows, as such funds provide a hedge against economic distress. Further, βΔGP helps predict the future performance of the fund in the next few quarters. βΔGP also relates negatively to the downside risk of the fund, implying that funds could potentially reduce their left-tail risk by tilting towards securities with above average βΔGP. We also examine the flows to active corporate bond funds and passive funds. While these effects of GP are largely observable for passive funds, they are not as strongly observable for corporate bond funds.

Keywords: Gold to platinum price ratio; Mutual funds; Economic distress; Fund flows; Downside risk; Risk-adjusted return (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E20 G11 G12 G23 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:empfin:v:79:y:2024:i:c:s0927539824000860

DOI: 10.1016/j.jempfin.2024.101552

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Journal of Empirical Finance is currently edited by R. T. Baillie, F. C. Palm, Th. J. Vermaelen and C. C. P. Wolff

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