To relocate or not: Climate-induced migration dynamics in the context of adaptation and intervention

Xiangpo Chen

Energy Economics, 2025, vol. 148, issue C

Abstract: The world is witnessing increasing trends in human mobility and climate change. This study reconsiders the relationship between climate change and population mobility using 22 years of panel data from 57,724 counties. Using a sophisticated model that integrates interactions between a flexible time function and various socioeconomic characteristics, the analysis revealed that climate change significantly drives population outflows. Furthermore, the dynamic analysis of time-varying tendency revealed that population mobility varied depending on the intensity of climate shocks. Mild climate shocks can trigger a “self-restoring” process within the social system, while more severe shocks necessitate critical policy interventions. These findings underscore the urgent need for long-term climate adaptation strategies, particularly in underdeveloped and highly vulnerable regions worldwide.

Keywords: Climate change; Population mobility; Dynamic analysis; Climate adaptation strategies (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: P23 Q54 R11 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:eneeco:v:148:y:2025:i:c:s0140988325004621

DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2025.108635

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