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Sequential game of an emissions trading scheme

Saesin Oh, Sunjin Kim and Doojin Ryu

Energy Economics, 2025, vol. 150, issue C

Abstract: We examine how the strategic behavior of electric utilities influences a multistage carbon emissions trading market without allowance banking. Using a sequential two-stage game model, we identify key factors that shape trading outcomes over time. In competitive carbon markets with non-excessive allowance allocation, the second-stage price is higher than the first-stage price. Heightened competition induces sales of allowances in the first stage and amplifies their prices in the second stage. Utilities' roles as buyers or sellers depend on the relative scales of the electricity and carbon markets, which mediate the broader effects of competition and technological advancement on strategic trading behavior across stages.

Keywords: Carbon emissions trading; Cournot competition; Electricity markets; Energy economics; Sequential game (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C72 D21 H23 P48 Q48 Q54 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:eneeco:v:150:y:2025:i:c:s0140988325006516

DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2025.108824

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