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Electricity portfolio management: Optimal peak/off-peak allocations

Ronald Huisman, Ronald Mahieu and Felix Schlichter

Energy Economics, 2009, vol. 31, issue 1, 169-174

Abstract: Electricity purchasers manage a portfolio of contracts in order to purchase the expected future electricity consumption profile of a company or a pool of clients. This paper proposes a mean-variance framework to address the concept of structuring the portfolio and focuses on how to optimally allocate positions in peak and off-peak forward contracts. It is shown that the optimal allocations are based on the difference in risk premiums per unit of day-ahead risk as a measure of relative costs of hedging risk in the day-ahead markets. The outcomes of the model are then applied to show (i) that it is typically not optimal to hedge a baseload consumption profile with a baseload forward contract and (ii) that, under reasonable assumptions, risk taking by the purchaser is rewarded by lower expected costs.

Keywords: Optimal; electricity; sourcing; Hedge; ratio; Forward; risk; premiums; Electricity; portfolio; management (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2009
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (19)

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Working Paper: Electricity Portfolio Management: Optimal Peak / Off-Peak Allocations (2007) Downloads
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