Are the macroeconomic effects of oil price shock symmetric?: A Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregressive approach

Lian An, Xiaoze Jin and Xiaomei Ren

Energy Economics, 2014, vol. 45, issue C, 217-228

Abstract: This paper aims to examine the asymmetric effect of oil price shocks on real economic activity in the U.S. within the context of a nonlinear Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregressive (FAVAR) model. By employing simulation methods, we trace the effects of positive and negative oil price shocks on the macroeconomic variables through the Impulse Response Function (IRF). It is found that the negative impacts of higher oil prices are larger than the positive effects of lower oil prices. And the asymmetric effects are more evident when the oil price shocks are larger. The results are robust to different lag specification and choice of factors.

Keywords: Asymmetry; Oil fluctuation; Factor Augmented Vector Autoregression; Real economic activity (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C32 C53 E32 Q43 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (37)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:eneeco:v:45:y:2014:i:c:p:217-228

DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2014.06.003

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