EconPapers    
Economics at your fingertips  
 

Nonlinear causality between crude oil price and exchange rate: A comparative study of China and India

Debi Prasad Bal and Badri Narayan Rath ()

Energy Economics, 2015, vol. 51, issue C, 149-156

Abstract: While several studies have examined the linear causal relationship between oil prices and exchange rates, little is known about the nonlinear causality between these two variables. The present paper tries to fill this research gap in the context of India and China. By applying the Hiemstra and Jones (1994) nonlinear Granger causality test to the VAR residuals, the study finds a significant bi-directional nonlinear Granger causality between oil prices and exchange rates in both countries. The findings suggest that the nonlinearity of oil price influences the exchange rate irrespective of the exchange rate regimes. Further, to check robustness, the persistence in the variance of oil price and exchange rate is taken into account using a GARCH (1, 1) model. While the results consistently hold in the case of India, with respect to China, a unidirectional causality runs from exchange rate to oil price. However, the oil price in China does not Granger cause exchange rate.

Keywords: Nonlinear causality; BDS test; Oil price; Exchange rate; Volatility persistence (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C32 F31 Q43 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (32) Track citations by RSS feed

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0140988315001899
Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:eneeco:v:51:y:2015:i:c:p:149-156

Access Statistics for this article

Energy Economics is currently edited by R. S. J. Tol, Beng Ang, Lance Bachmeier, Perry Sadorsky, Ugur Soytas and J. P. Weyant

More articles in Energy Economics from Elsevier
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Dana Niculescu ().

 
Page updated 2019-10-28
Handle: RePEc:eee:eneeco:v:51:y:2015:i:c:p:149-156