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Estimating impact of regional greenhouse gas initiative on coal to gas switching using synthetic control methods

Man-Keun Kim and Taehoo Kim

Energy Economics, 2016, vol. 59, issue C, 328-335

Abstract: Fuel switching from coal to much cleaner natural gas in electricity generation is one of significant factors explaining the recent substantial reduction in greenhouse gas emissions in the Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative (RGGI) region (northeastern U.S.). Coal to gas switching has been triggered by the recent shale gas revolution, which the entire U.S. has experienced, not the RGGI region alone. If RGGI as a cap-and-trade carbon program did not work effectively, the rate of fuel switching would have been similar to that of other U.S. states. To estimate the effects of RGGI implementation in terms of the fuel switching, we use the synthetic control method for comparative case studies. Results provide a strong evidence that coal to gas switching has been actually accelerated by RGGI implementation. RGGI increases gas share in electricity generation in the RGGI region by roughly 10–15% point higher than the synthetic RGGI.

Keywords: Coal to gas switching; Regional greenhouse gas initiative; Synthetic control method (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C21 L94 Q52 Q53 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (19)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:eneeco:v:59:y:2016:i:c:p:328-335

DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2016.08.019

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Energy Economics is currently edited by R. S. J. Tol, Beng Ang, Lance Bachmeier, Perry Sadorsky, Ugur Soytas and J. P. Weyant

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