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The effect of natural gas shortages on the Mexican economy

Carlo Alcaraz Pribaz () and Sergio Villalvazo ()

Energy Economics, 2017, vol. 66, issue C, 147-153

Abstract: The Mexican economy experienced a shortage of natural gas from the second quarter of 2012 through the second half of 2013. In order to deal with this problem, the state-owned national supplier of natural gas (Pemex) implemented a system that restricts the amount of natural gas used by the manufacturing sector. With this information, we have constructed a “shortage index” that represents the percentage of natural gas restricted per month in each region. We quantify the effect of natural gas shortages on the manufacturing sector and GDP using a panel data model with state and time fixed effects. We estimate that the natural gas shortage reduced Mexican GDP annual growth rate by 0.28 percentage points in the second quarter of 2013.

Keywords: Public economy; Natural gas; Mexico (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D24 H40 O14 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017
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Working Paper: The Effect of Natural Gas Shortages on the Mexican Economy (2016) Downloads
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DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2017.06.006

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Energy Economics is currently edited by R. S. J. Tol, Beng Ang, Lance Bachmeier, Perry Sadorsky, Ugur Soytas and J. P. Weyant

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