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Feed-in tariffs with minimum price guarantees and regulatory uncertainty

Luciana Barbosa, Paulo Ferrão, Artur Rodrigues and Alberto Sardinha

Energy Economics, 2018, vol. 72, issue C, 517-541

Abstract: The feed-in tariff (FIT) program is a popular policy for incentivizing new renewable energy projects because it establishes a long-term contract with renewable energy investors. This paper presents a novel model to analyze a FIT contract with a minimum price guarantee (i.e., a price-floor regime) from an investor's perspective. The results show that a perpetual guarantee only induces investment for prices below the price floor when offering a risk-free investment opportunity. In contrast, the finite guarantee may induce investment even when the revenue from the guarantee is lower than the investment cost. When an investor faces a scenario with regulatory uncertainty, a higher and more likely reduction in the price floor induces earlier investment. For all cases, investors postpone an investment decision when market conditions present a higher price volatility.

Keywords: Real options; Feed-in tariff; Price-floor regime; Regulatory uncertainty (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: L94 Q28 Q42 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (16)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:eneeco:v:72:y:2018:i:c:p:517-541

DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2018.04.028

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