EconPapers    
Economics at your fingertips  
 

Global economic activity, crude oil price and production, stock market behaviour and the Nigeria-US exchange rate

Olaolu Olayeni (), Aviral Tiwari () and Mark Wohar ()

Energy Economics, 2020, vol. 92, issue C

Abstract: This paper investigates the dynamic relationship among oil price, Nigeria-US exchange rate, stock market activity, Kilian's global economic activity index, and global oil production. We develop a robust, stable single-equation error correction model where the exchange rate solely bears the burden of short-run adjustments with causal influences from the rest of the variables included in the model. We find a role for asymmetry in the long run, confirming the presence of equilibrium-path adjustment asymmetry and suggesting that the positive and negative variations must be accounted for in designing the policymaking process to enforce stable exchange rate movement. By comparing the linear and nonlinear models, we find that the two models are complementary and that each is horizon-bound in its forecasting ability.

Keywords: Oil price; Exchange rate; Asymmetric adjustments; ADL model (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1) Track citations by RSS feed

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0140988320302784
Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:eneeco:v:92:y:2020:i:c:s0140988320302784

DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2020.104938

Access Statistics for this article

Energy Economics is currently edited by R. S. J. Tol, Beng Ang, Lance Bachmeier, Perry Sadorsky, Ugur Soytas and J. P. Weyant

More articles in Energy Economics from Elsevier
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Catherine Liu ().

 
Page updated 2021-09-27
Handle: RePEc:eee:eneeco:v:92:y:2020:i:c:s0140988320302784