Reaching Brazil's Nationally Determined Contributions: An assessment of the key transitions in final demand and employment

Daniel Bastidas and Florent Mc Isaac
Authors registered in the RePEc Author Service: Florent John McIsaac

Energy Policy, 2019, vol. 135, issue C

Abstract: Brazil has achieved significant advances in climate mitigation by reducing its greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in the last decade. Additionally, Brazil commits to furthering its actions through the Nationally Determined Contributions (NDC), issued during the Paris Agreement. The country also anticipates a significant increase in GDP in the years to come. Chen et al. (2012)'s main conclusion was that if deforestation were to be greatly reduced, the burden of cutting CO2 emissions from energy use and industrial processes would be minimal. However, recent data on land-use emissions show that additional efforts might also be required in the energy sector. Using Brazil's industrial structure, we evaluate the minimal changes needed in domestic final demand to meet both the NDC target and the forecasted economic growth. Our results show that it may be possible to meet both objectives with policies that incentivize a service-oriented economy while lowering investments in the manufactuing and extracting sectors. Furthermore, this strategy could be net job-creating, would rely on fewer imported products, and would generate tax revenue. However, wages could decrease.

Keywords: Input-output; Leontief model; Network; Energy sources; Employment; Brazil (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C67 D57 D85 Q42 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (9)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:enepol:v:135:y:2019:i:c:s0301421519305701

DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2019.110983

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