Regional low carbon development pathways for the Yangtze River Delta region in China

Wei Wu, Tingting Zhang, Xiaomin Xie and Zhen Huang

Energy Policy, 2021, vol. 151, issue C

Abstract: This study uses the Low Emissions Analysis Platform (LEAP) model to analyze the energy demand and carbon emissions of the Yangtze River Delta region in China from 2020 to 2050 under different energy transition scenarios. The results show that under the baseline scenario, the energy demand and carbon emissions in the Yangtze River Delta region will continue to grow; under the condition of fully tapping the energy conservation potential of the Yangtze River Delta region, the energy demand and carbon emissions in this region will achieve slow growth and even be declined in the future. In the short term, improving end-use energy efficiency is the most effective driving force for reducing energy demand in Shanghai, Jiangsu, and Zhejiang provinces, while economic transformation is the most effective driving force for reducing energy demand in Anhui province. In the long run, optimizing the structure of the industry is the most effective way to reduce the energy demand for Jiangsu, Zhejiang, and Anhui provinces, and improving the end-use energy efficiency is the most effective driving force for Shanghai. Vigorously developing non-fossil energy is an effective option for reducing carbon emissions in the Yangtze River Delta region in both the short and long term.

Keywords: Energy consumption; Carbon emissions; LEAP model; Yangtze River Delta region; Scenario analysis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (18)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:enepol:v:151:y:2021:i:c:s0301421521000410

DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2021.112172

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