Electric vehicle deployment & fossil fuel tax revenue in Mexico to 2050

David Bonilla, Héctor Arias Soberon and Oscar Ugarteche Galarza

Energy Policy, 2022, vol. 171, issue C

Abstract: We assess the changes in Mexico's privately owned vehicle fleet and tax losses (fuel duty on gasoline) associated to the deployment of electric vehicles (EVs) through a diffusion model. Our projections for 2050 focus on a) electricity use of EVs, b) gasoline use and c) revenue for Mexico's treasury. The model uses population growth and vehicles sales to project two items: a) EV diffusion and b) substitution rates of ICVs with EVs. The equation uses vehicle km travelled and average consumption of fuel to calculate gasoline use of vehicles.

Date: 2022
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:enepol:v:171:y:2022:i:c:s0301421522004955

DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2022.113276

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