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Investment cost specifications revisited

Mathias Mier and Valeriya Azarova

Energy Policy, 2024, vol. 188, issue C

Abstract: Policymakers often misjudge the results of technology-rich optimization models with high spatial and temporal resolutions, primarily due to variations in investment cost specifications. These models exhibit different sensitivities towards changing cost of capital (CoC) and discount rates. In this study, we utilize an intertemporally optimizing power market model to analyze three investment cost specifications, leading to distinct rates of adoption for specific generation technologies and diverging system cost, electricity prices, and carbon prices. The first specification assumes equity financing only, showcasing complete insensitivity to changing CoC. This specification promotes early wind power deployment and yields the lowest carbon prices. Conversely, the second specification, which involves a mix of equity and debt financing, demonstrates high sensitivity to changing CoC and postpones wind power deployment to later periods. The third specification, which assumes debt financing only, is insensitive to changing discount rates and generally results in the lowest investments and the highest carbon prices.

Keywords: Investment cost; Discounting; Cost of capital; Optimization model; Power market model (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C61 C68 Q40 Q42 Q47 Q58 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:enepol:v:188:y:2024:i:c:s0301421524000788

DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114058

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