 Vulnerability of the economy to the potential disturbances of energy supply: A logic-based model with application to the case of ChinaEdgard Gnansounou and Jun Dong Energy Policy, 2010, vol. 38, issue 6, 2846-2857 Abstract: The disturbances of energy supply that may result from both external and domestic events create a significant threat for national economy due to potential impacts on the productivity, employment and overall economic growth. Building scenarios of the economy's vulnerability to these disturbances is delicate because of the significant number of interrelated factors that should be taken into consideration. In this paper, a logic-based model (LBM) is developed, which allows for defining, exploring and assessing the determinants and the indicators of the economy's vulnerability related to the energy supply disturbances within a coherent scenarios assessment framework. The proposed model is illustrated with the case of China. After developing the general framework, three particular scenarios are investigated. Based on the case study, the performance and limitations of the model are analyzed, and its ability to evaluate national energy policies is discussed. Finally, some recommendations for further improvements are made. Keywords: Economy's; vulnerability; Energy; supply; China (search for similar items in EconPapers) Downloads: (external link) Related works: Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:enepol:v:38:y:2010:i:6:p:2846-2857 Access Statistics for this article Energy Policy is currently edited by N. France More articles in Energy Policy from Elsevier |
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