Long- and short-run price asymmetries and hysteresis in the Italian gasoline market

Alberto Bagnai and Christian Alexander Mongeau Ospina

Energy Policy, 2015, vol. 78, issue C, 41-50

Abstract: Using monthly data from 1994 to 2013 we study the long-run relation of the pre-tax retail prices of gasoline with crude price and the nominal exchange rate. We find a strongly significant long-run relation. We then use the nonlinear ARDL (NARDL) model to assess the asymmetries on both the short- and long-run elasticities, as well as the presence of hysteresis in the pricing behaviour. The estimation results confirm the presence of asymmetry in the long-run elasticities, with significant differences between the crude price and the exchange rate, as well as the presence of hysteresis in the relation between the retail price of gasoline and crude oil price.

Keywords: Energy prices; Asymmetric cointegration; Asymmetric price adjustment; Exchange rate pass-through; Hysteresis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C22 D43 E31 L71 Q41 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (15)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:enepol:v:78:y:2015:i:c:p:41-50

DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2014.12.017

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